Economic Consulting  —  Impact, Fiscal & Tax Policy Analysis

Policy has economic consequences. Stay prepared.

Alt-30 is an economic consulting firm. We produce the impact studies, fiscal analyses, revenue forecasts, and expert testimony that decision-makers rely on when a policy, a project, or a budget is on the table.

Economic Impact Analysis
Fiscal Impact Analysis
Revenue Forecasting
Expert Testimony
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Why the Numbers Hold

An estimate is only as good
as the room it survives.

Any consultant can produce a favorable figure. The question that decides whether it is worth anything is what happens when a skeptical committee member, an opposing economist, or a reporter asks how it was derived.

We build every analysis to answer that question.

Assumptions are stated in the report. Multipliers are disclosed. Every input traces to a primary filing, and the model is available for inspection by anyone who cares to check it.

01
Stated AssumptionsMultipliers, elasticities, and growth rates appear in the report rather than in a file we keep. A reader can disagree with an assumption and see precisely what changing it would do.
02
Primary SourcesEvery input traces to an appropriation, a tax roll, or a federal labor release. Nothing is carried forward from an earlier study without re-verification.
03
Consistent MethodThe same construction in every jurisdiction, which is what allows one state's finding to be compared against another's — and what keeps our own numbers consistent between engagements.
04
Presented in PersonThe economist who built the model presents it and takes the questions. An analysis that cannot be defended out loud is not finished.
Who Uses Alt-30

Different clients.
The same question.

Our clients want different things from government. What none of them can do without is a credible answer to how much a decision moves, in which direction, and for whom. Each practice is described in full on its own page.

01 / Practice
Government Relations & Lobbying Firms
A position advanced on assertion gets corrected in public; a position carrying an impact study does not. We are the economics bench behind government relations practices, producing the analysis a firm presents to a committee under its own name.
Committee Exhibits Position Review White-Label Briefs Multi-State Coverage
02 / Practice
Campaigns, PACs & Legislative Caucuses
Candidates are held to economic claims about the district they seek to represent, and rarely have staff able to verify them. We build the district economic profile and check the claim before it is published rather than after.
District Profiles Debate Preparation Claim Review Target-Seat Analysis
03 / Practice
Corporate Procurement & Health IT
Whether a solicitation is genuinely funded is a question of appropriations, not procurement language. We analyze agency budget conditions, obligation timelines, and the tax exposure that follows fiscal stress, for companies selling into government.
Bid / No-Bid Briefs Agency Spend Forecasts Reporting-Cycle Calendars Tax Exposure Monitoring
04 / Practice
Municipalities & Local Government
Most towns depend on shared revenue they neither levy nor can forecast, and cannot fund an economist to model it. We serve as fractional economic staff: distribution scenarios, revenue alternatives, and the analysis officials carry to the statehouse.
Fiscal Threat Modeling Shared-Revenue Scenarios Legislative Defense Grant Implementation
Capabilities

Six services.
One standard of proof.

The number, and the economist
who will defend it.

Engagements run from a single impact study to a standing advisory relationship. All of them draw on the same longitudinal records of appropriations, tax filings, and employment — fifty states, more than five hundred municipalities, back to fiscal year 1967 — because measuring a change requires knowing what preceded it.

01
Economic Impact Analysis
What a project, employer, or policy contributes to an economy: output, earnings, and employment, direct and indirect, with every multiplier and assumption stated on the page.
Core Service
02
Fiscal Impact Analysis
What a decision does to a public budget. Revenue and expenditure effects modeled by fund and by year, across the horizon a council or a legislature actually plans against.
Core Service
03
Tax Policy Analysis
Incidence, elasticity, and revenue consequence of a proposed change: who pays it, how behavior responds, and what the treasury collects once it does.
Core Service
04
Revenue Forecasting
Baseline and scenario forecasts for general funds, shared-revenue distributions, and dedicated streams — rebuilt as conditions change rather than once a year.
Recurring
05
Expert Testimony & Presentation
Findings presented to a committee, a council, a board, or a newsroom by the economist who produced them, and defended under questioning.
Public Record
06
Living Data Portals
Most studies are filed and immediately begin to age. Ours can be delivered as a maintained portal that updates as new filings post, so the finding is current the next time it is needed.
What Sets Us Apart
Our Independence

We are hired by both sides.
Often in the same session.

An economic consulting firm is worth retaining only if its findings would embarrass it to reverse. We hold no lobbying registrations, make no political contributions as a firm, and advocate for no legislation, candidate, or ballot measure. Clients across the political spectrum engage us, frequently on opposite sides of the same bill, and the method does not change to suit them. That is also why a firm can bring us into a client meeting without creating a conflict.

100%
of inputs are verifiable public records — appropriations, tax rolls, employment statistics — each cited in the report itself
2 parties
served, often in the same session and occasionally on the same bill. The method does not change with the client.
50
states covered on identical methodology, so that a finding in one jurisdiction is comparable to a finding in another
0
lobbying registrations, advocacy positions, or political contributions made by the firm
The Firm

About the name,
and the firm.

Hold Alt and type 30. A keyboard returns — the oldest notation in economics for a quantity that has moved.

That is the whole of the work. A tax cut moves a general fund. A plant closure moves a county payroll. A development moves a city revenue base for thirty years. Every question a client brings us is finally a question about how much moved, in which direction, and for whom.

Alt-30 is an economic consulting firm built to answer those questions with numbers that hold up. We maintain longitudinal records of appropriations, tax filings, and employment across fifty states and more than five hundred municipalities, back to fiscal year 1967, because measuring a change requires knowing what preceded it. The firm began in Arizona and keeps unusual depth there; the method is identical in every state we cover.

A PhD economist leads each engagement. We do not lobby, we do not poll, and we do not advise on message. We produce the number, and we defend it in the room.

Named Service Lines
Economic impact, fiscal impact, tax policy, revenue forecasting, expert testimony. Scoped and priced before work begins.
Longitudinal Record
Fiscal year 1967 to the present. Recognizing a pattern requires history; five decades of it sit beneath our models.
National Coverage
The same construction in every jurisdiction, which is what allows one state's finding to be compared against another's.
Economist on Staff
A PhD economist leads the work and presents it. Not subcontracted for the engagement.
Work That Travels
Each study is prepared to be placed before a committee chair, a client, or a council without revision.
Published Research
PoliMetrics

PoliMetrics is where we publish work no client commissioned. It covers state fiscal policy, shared-revenue formulas, labor economics, and how policy travels between jurisdictions. Publishing openly is part of the method: an assumption that cannot survive a public audience should not be sold privately either.

Read PoliMetrics
Shared Revenue
Income Tax Cuts and Municipal Exposure: Which Towns Carry the Risk in Shared-Revenue States
Districts
District Economics as a Baseline: Employment and Tax Burden Ahead of the Next Cycle
Municipal
Sales Taxes, Lodging Taxes, and Franchise Fees: Revenue Options for Towns Without a Property Levy
Budget
Reading Agency Spend Cycles: What Appropriations History Says About Next Year's Procurement
Living Data Portals

A working sample
of the models.

The portals below draw on the same econometric models that underpin our engagements and are open to the public. Retained clients receive dedicated, access-controlled instances configured to the states, districts, and agencies their work depends on.

Contact

Tell us what you need
measured.

Describe the decision in front of you and we will tell you plainly whether it is a question economics can answer, what the analysis would involve, and what it would cost. If the answer is that you do not need us, we will say so.

morgan.harman@alt-30.com
Response
Within one business day
Scoping Call
A conversation with the economist who would lead the work, at no cost and without obligation
Confidentiality
Inquiries and client relationships are held in strict confidence
Coverage
All fifty states · Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona

Inquiry received.

Thank you. We will review your note and respond within one business day, ordinarily with a jurisdiction brief already prepared.